|Narrative description of Project:|
DHI, the UK Met Office Hadley Centre and the Egyptian Ministry for Water Resources and Irrigation (MWRI) are collaborating on the project “Regional Climate Modelling of the Nile Basin: Preparation of climate scenario outputs for assessment of impact on water resources in the Nile Basin”. This project is funded by UNEP and UNESCO. The Nile is a crucial resource for agriculture, energy production and the economy of eastern and north-eastern Africa. Therefore, the assessment of the impact climate change may have on water resources is critical for the region and its people. The overall objective is to assess the possible impacts of climate change on the Nile river flow and in particular the inflow to the High Aswan Dam. There are large uncertainties in General Circulation Model (GCM) projections of climate change over the Nile. Therefore, this project will use a Regional Climate Model (RCM) to dynamically downscale to a spatial scale of relevance to hydrological assessment. An ensemble approach will be used to address the uncertainty related to climate change predictions.